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<p>9/ I think this is difficult to understand if you&#39;re in the middle-class or higher. That&#39;s because you *can* afford that vacation and probably don&#39;t want the Lambo. But that doesn&#39;t make the betters irrational. Just optimizing differently. •</p>
<p>8/ So sports betting FEELS like the only place where you might have an edge that you can parlay into large multiplicative factor payouts. It&#39;s … almost rational. ↵</p>
<p>7/ But speculators want some knowledge edge. And what *do* you know? Probably a lot about your favorite sports teams. Probably a lot more about them than about companies or currencies or anything else. ↵</p>
<p>6/ That may not prevent you! You could grab a Robinhood account and start betting, sorry, trading. You can even get leverage through margin, if you qualify. At high rates. And many have. ↵</p>
<p>5/ So you need to engage in &quot;speculation&quot;. The other form of speculation available is the stock market. But (a) you don&#39;t have capital and (b) you don&#39;t know how to read a balance sheet or anything. ↵</p>
<p>4/ If you could just change your job or circumstances you would have. Can&#39;t change your past either. The problem is: there are NO LEGAL WAYS left of making a pot of money. And you&#39;re not a criminal. ↵</p>
<p>3/ Maybe you&#39;re a young guy dreaming of a Lambo. Or a single parent whose kids dream of going to Disneyland. Or even just some cool shit you saw on Instagram. It&#39;s totally out of reach. ↵</p>
<p>2/ Imagine you&#39;re working in yet another eviscerated job or industry. You&#39;re not making much. You also don&#39;t see much hope of making more. Even an extra $2/hour only helps you stay afloat, or gets eaten by inflation. ↵</p>
<p>1/ I&#39;ve been thinking about the rise and rise of online betting in the US, and have a bit of theory. There are MANY explanations (boredom, etc.), but I think this is also a part of it. ↵</p>